The July 2025 edition of the Donau Soja Market Report offers a timely and in-depth look at the current developments in the non-GM soya market – from weather impacts to pricing trends and policy changes.
Weather will likely impact Southeast Europe
High temperatures and prolonged drought conditions across key producing regions such as Romania, Hungary and Serbia have led to lower yield expectations. As a result, Donau Soja has revised its forecast for EU soya production in 2025 to 2.7–2.8 million tonnes – slightly below last year’s output. While some areas such as Poland, France and Slovakia are expected to achieve average or above-average yields, Southeast Europe has been hit hardest by the summer heat.
Ukraine introduces export duty on soybeans
In a significant policy move, the Ukrainian Parliament passed a law introducing a 10% export duty on soybeans, aiming to strengthen domestic crushing capacity and stimulate value-added processing. Farmers who export their own production are exempt from the measure. This development is expected to shift trading dynamics and potentially increase local supply of processed soya products.
Mid-term outlook remains positive
Despite current weather-related challenges, the long-term outlook for European non-GM soya remains favourable. According to the latest OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook, EU soya production is projected to grow by 23% by 2034, while Ukraine is expected to increase output by 45% – both well above the global growth forecast of 15%. This underlines the potential of regional, traceable and deforestation-free soya to play a key role in the European protein transition.
The Donau Soja Market Report is published monthly and provides data-driven insights on price trends, production forecasts and policy developments in the European non-GM soya sector.
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